Market News

Where Flip Margins Are Actually Highest Right Now: ATTOM's Q1 2026 Metro Data

The national ROI number is up. The metro-by-metro spread is where the real story — and the opportunity — is.

September 20, 2026 · 5 min read

Quick answer

ATTOM's Q1 2026 Home Flipping Report shows national gross ROI at 25.4%, but the metro-level spread is huge: Pittsburgh and Buffalo lead at roughly 85% and 84%, while Idaho, Montana, and parts of Texas and Utah sit near 2–5%. For flippers, the national average hides where the actual margin is — low entry price relative to resale value, not just a hot market.

What just happened

ATTOM's Q1 2026 U.S. Home Flipping Report put national gross ROI at 25.4%, up from 24.7% the prior quarter — the first quarterly improvement after seven straight quarters of decline. But that national figure covers an enormous range. Among metros with populations over 1 million, the widest typical profit margins were in Pittsburgh, PA (about 85.9%), Buffalo, NY (about 84%), Virginia Beach, VA (about 74.9%), Baltimore, MD (about 65.9%), and Philadelphia, PA (about 62%). At the other end, Idaho posted the weakest state-level ROI at roughly 2.5%, followed by Montana, Texas, Utah, and Mississippi.

The headline: a rising national average doesn't mean margins are improving everywhere. Where you buy is doing more work than the national trend right now.

Why the spread is this wide

The metros topping the list share a pattern: low acquisition prices relative to resale value, and resale values that have stayed relatively stable while purchase prices stayed cheap. Rust Belt and Mid-Atlantic markets like Pittsburgh, Buffalo, and Baltimore let investors buy in at a fraction of what a comparable rehab costs in a Sun Belt boomtown, so even a modest post-rehab price lift produces a large percentage return. The lowest-ROI states, by contrast, are mostly markets where flippers were still paying pandemic-era premiums to acquire, leaving little room between purchase price and ARV after rehab and carrying costs.

  • High-margin pattern: cheap entry price + stable-to-rising resale value = wide dollar spread relative to what you put in.
  • Low-margin pattern: acquisition price already close to ARV before rehab even starts, leaving no room for the numbers to work.
  • Activity ≠ margin: some of the busiest flipping metros (Dallas, Kansas City, Memphis, Atlanta) aren't the highest-ROI ones — volume and margin are different questions.
  • This is gross ROI before rehab, holding, and transaction costs — net margins will be materially lower everywhere on this list.

What it means for flippers

If you're flipping in — or picking between — multiple markets, the metro-level data is a better guide than the national headline. It doesn't mean chase the top of the list blind; it means understand why a market is producing margin before you commit capital there. A city near the top of the ROI list because entry prices are genuinely low relative to resale value is a different opportunity than a city that just happens to have had one hot quarter.

  • Run your own comps before trusting a metro's average — ROI figures are typical, not guaranteed, and vary block to block.
  • In lower-margin metros, tighten your buy price further; the 70% rule matters more where the ARV-to-acquisition spread is already thin.
  • In higher-margin metros, don't get complacent on rehab scope — a wide typical margin can mask a bad individual deal just as easily as a thin one.
  • Use our flip calculators for specific metros to model your own numbers against local comps rather than relying on the metro average alone.

The takeaway

National ROI ticking up to 25.4% is genuinely good news, but it's an average across markets that are moving in very different directions. The flippers getting the best of this environment are underwriting each deal against its own metro's real spread between acquisition price and resale value — not assuming the national number applies everywhere they're looking to buy.

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Frequently asked questions

Which cities have the highest house flipping ROI right now?
ATTOM's Q1 2026 data shows Pittsburgh, PA and Buffalo, NY leading large metros at roughly 84–86% gross ROI, followed by Virginia Beach, Baltimore, and Philadelphia. These are mostly Rust Belt and Mid-Atlantic markets with low acquisition prices relative to resale value.
Why is national flip ROI up but some states are still doing badly?
The 25.4% national gross ROI is a blended average. Metro-level data shows a wide spread — some Rust Belt cities post 80%+ margins while states like Idaho, Montana, and Texas sit near 2–5%, usually because acquisition prices there are already close to after-repair value.
Does a high-ROI metro mean it's a good place to flip?
It's a signal, not a guarantee. A high typical ROI usually reflects a favorable gap between entry price and resale value in that metro, but individual deals still vary widely. Run your own comps and underwrite each property on its own numbers rather than the metro average.